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	<title>Obsolete Your Idols &#187; Stochastic</title>
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	<link>http://blog.manjusri.org</link>
	<description>Book Reviews and Blather</description>
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		<title>Alphabetically, Starting with 9</title>
		<link>http://blog.manjusri.org/2009/05/17/alphabetically-starting-with-9/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.manjusri.org/2009/05/17/alphabetically-starting-with-9/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 17 May 2009 14:41:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>binder</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stochastic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.manjusri.org/?p=176</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While on the course of wondering something almost as silly, I decided to see what kind of distribution of software packages my laptop has installed.  It turns out to be skewed wildly in favor of the letter L. dpkg &#8211;get-selections &#124;  grep -v deinstall &#124; cut -c 1 &#124; sort &#124; uniq -c 1 9 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>While on the course of wondering something almost as silly, I decided to see what kind of distribution of software packages my laptop has installed.  It turns out to be skewed wildly in favor of the letter L.</p>
<p>dpkg &#8211;get-selections |  grep -v deinstall | cut -c 1 | sort | uniq -c</p>
<ul>
<li> 1 9</li>
<li> 44 a</li>
<li> 44 b</li>
<li> 74 c</li>
<li> 44 d</li>
<li> 66 e</li>
<li> 57 f</li>
<li> 178 g</li>
<li> 26 h</li>
<li> 33 i</li>
<li> 9 j</li>
<li> 29 k</li>
<li> 1015 l</li>
<li> 61 m</li>
<li> 40 n</li>
<li> 44 o</li>
<li> 134 p</li>
<li> 8 q</li>
<li> 23 r</li>
<li> 65 s</li>
<li> 99 t</li>
<li> 45 u</li>
<li> 10 v</li>
<li> 17 w</li>
<li> 117 x</li>
<li> 1 y</li>
<li> 6 z</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Crusts</title>
		<link>http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/05/crusts/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/05/crusts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Jan 2008 01:36:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>flickr</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stochastic]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/05/crusts/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Crusts Originally uploaded by Binder Of Daemons If I squint really hard, these elements look like a face.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>  <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/stp/2169769107/" title="photo sharing"><img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2125/2169769107_126ee26ca6_m.jpg" /></a><br />
<a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/stp/2169769107/">Crusts</a></p>
<p>Originally uploaded by <a href="http://www.flickr.com/people/stp/">Binder Of Daemons</a></p>
<p>If I squint really hard, these elements look like a face.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Random Predictions for 2008</title>
		<link>http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/04/better-than-random-coin/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/04/better-than-random-coin/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Jan 2008 05:05:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>binder</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stochastic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2007]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[numismatology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[prediction]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.manjusri.org/2008/01/04/better-than-random-coin/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ten predictions from the most sage quarter I could find]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are a number of people who make predictions for the coming year.  If they predicted events for the previous year, they&#8217;ll review them, score themselves on their accuracy.  Often they find that they&#8217;ve done about as well as a coin flip.  Which brought me the idea of making predictions which were exactly coin flips.  For each of these, I&#8217;ve constructed them as an A or B choice and flipped a <a href="http://www.usmint.gov/mint_programs/50sq_program/states/index.cfm?state=MO">Missouri state quarter</a> to determine <em>my</em> prediction.  At the end of the year, or perhaps at the start of 2009, I&#8217;ll review and see how accurate the coin was, and whether the representative of Missouri did <strong>better</strong> than the average coin flip.</p>
<p>After the 2008 elections:</p>
<ul>
<li>the President will be a <strong>Democrat</strong>  (Republican)</li>
<li>the House of Representatives will have a (Democratic) <strong>Republican</strong> majority</li>
<li>the Senate will have a <strong>Democratic</strong> (Republican) majority</li>
</ul>
<p>During 2008:</p>
<ul>
<li>The price of a PlayStation 3 will<strong> </strong>(remain stable)<strong> fall </strong><strong><br />
</strong></li>
<li>Nintendo Wiis will<strong> remain scarce</strong> (become abundant)</li>
<li>One Laptop Per Child will<strong> thrive</strong> (fade into obscurity)</li>
<li> Amazon&#8217;s Kindle will (catch on) <strong>fade away</strong></li>
<li>George R. R. Martin <strong>will</strong> (will not) complete the Song of Fire and Ice</li>
<li>An earthquake of at least 7.0 magnitude <strong>wil</strong>l (will not) hit the Bay Area</li>
<li>A flu pandemic (will) <strong>will not</strong> afflict America</li>
</ul>
<p>There you have it, ten predictions from the most sage quarter I could find.  Predictions are in bold, anti-predictions are in parenthetical notes.  Check back in a year or so to find out how well this quarter did.</p>
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